Thursday, January 1, 2009

Mardoff Ecomics-The Year in Review

The Big Picture- When it comes to the good old U.S.A., I believe there's one overwhelming view one must take despite all the political rhetoric and "I'm okay, your okay" from the "Don't worry, be happy" crowd on Wall Street; America is trying to operate on a failed business model. While doing so, Americans have truly mortgaged their futures on a far worse situation than the sub-prime fiasco.

- I threw my hat back into the bullish camp in the waning days of 2008.

U.S. Dollar Index - I've had a constant saying for the last few years that "the only party that doesn't know the U.S. Dollar is dead is the U.S. Dollar. "If I was wrong and it was only sick, trust me the trillions of dollars being created and pumped into the system was its death warrant. Pity the poor souls on Tout-TV who say the Fed will be able to remove these trillions of thin-air created dollars from the system without causing inflation. If you believe that one, you should join those who believe Elvis is still alive and on an island somewhere with Jimmy Hoffa. Look for a test of the low 70s by years-end, if not sooner.

U.S. Treasuries - The one remaining bubble that should burst in 2009 (watch). While the 10-year can still get below 2% yield, the time has come to short treasuries. We may go down before going up, but by years-end I think this strategy can be a winner. Read

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